Tare da yaɗuwa da amfani da sabbin batirin makamashi kamar batirin lithium manganate, kayan aikinsu masu kyau na manganese sun jawo hankali sosai. Dangane da bayanai masu dacewa, sashen bincike na kasuwa na UrbanMines Tech. Co., Ltd. ya taƙaita matsayin ci gaban masana'antar manganese ta China don ambaton abokan cinikinmu.
1. Samar da Manganese: Ma'adinan ya dogara ne akan shigo da kayayyaki daga ƙasashen waje, kuma ƙarfin samar da kayayyakin da aka sarrafa yana da matuƙar yawa.
1.1 Sarkar masana'antar Manganese
Kayayyakin Manganese suna da wadata a fannoni daban-daban, galibi ana amfani da su wajen samar da ƙarfe, kuma suna da babban amfani a ƙera batir. Karfe na Manganese fari ne mai launin azurfa, mai tauri kuma mai rauni. Ana amfani da shi galibi a matsayin deoxidizer, desulfurizer da kuma sinadarin haɗa ƙarfe a cikin aikin yin ƙarfe. Haɗin silicon-manganese, ferromanganese mai matsakaicin ƙarancin carbon da ferromanganese mai yawan carbon sune manyan samfuran amfani na manganese. Bugu da ƙari, ana amfani da manganese wajen samar da kayan cathode na ternary da kayan lithium manganate cathode, waɗanda wurare ne da ake amfani da su waɗanda ke da babban yuwuwar girma a nan gaba. Ana amfani da ma'adinan Manganese galibi ta hanyar ƙarfe manganese da sinadarin manganese. 1) Sama: Haƙar ma'adinai da miya. Nau'in ma'adinan Manganese sun haɗa da ma'adinan manganese oxide, ma'adinan manganese carbonate, da sauransu. 2) Sarrafa Tsakiya: Ana iya raba shi zuwa manyan hanyoyi guda biyu: hanyar injiniyan sinadarai da hanyar ƙarfe. Ana sarrafa samfuran kamar manganese dioxide, manganese na ƙarfe, ferromanganese da silicomanganese ta hanyar cire sinadarin sulfuric acid ko rage tanderu na lantarki. 3) Aikace-aikacen ƙasa: Aikace-aikacen ƙasa suna rufe ƙarfe, cathodes na baturi, abubuwan kara kuzari, magunguna da sauran fannoni.
1.2 Ma'adinan Manganese: Albarkatun da ake da su a ƙasashen waje suna da yawa, kuma China ta dogara ne da shigo da kayayyaki daga ƙasashen waje.
Ma'adinan manganese na duniya sun taru a Afirka ta Kudu, China, Ostiraliya da Brazil, kuma ma'adinan manganese na China sun zo na biyu a duniya. Albarkatun ma'adinan manganese na duniya suna da yawa, amma ba su da daidaito. A cewar bayanan Wind, ya zuwa Disamba 2022, an tabbatar da cewa ma'adinan manganese na duniya sun kai tan biliyan 1.7, kashi 37.6% daga cikinsu suna Afirka ta Kudu, kashi 15.9% a Brazil, kashi 15.9% a Ostiraliya, da kuma kashi 8.2% a Ukraine. A shekarar 2022, ma'adinan manganese na China zai kai tan miliyan 280, wanda ya kai kashi 16.5% na jimillar jimillar duniya, kuma ma'adinan nata zai zo na biyu a duniya.
Ma'aunin albarkatun ma'adinan manganese na duniya ya bambanta sosai, kuma albarkatu masu inganci suna taruwa a ƙasashen waje. Ma'adinan mai arzikin ma'adinan manganese (wanda ke ɗauke da fiye da kashi 30% na manganese) suna taruwa a Afirka ta Kudu, Gabon, Ostiraliya da Brazil. Ma'aunin ma'adinan manganese yana tsakanin kashi 40-50%, kuma ma'adinan sun ƙunshi fiye da kashi 70% na ma'adinan duniya. China da Ukraine galibi sun dogara ne akan albarkatun ma'adinan manganese marasa inganci. Galibi, yawan sinadarin manganese yawanci bai kai kashi 30% ba, kuma yana buƙatar a sarrafa shi kafin a iya amfani da shi.
Manyan masu samar da ma'adinan manganese a duniya sune Afirka ta Kudu, Gabon da Ostiraliya, inda China ke da kashi 6%. A cewar iska, samar da ma'adinan manganese a duniya a shekarar 2022 zai kai tan miliyan 20, raguwar kashi 0.5% a shekara, yayin da kasashen waje ke da sama da kashi 90%. Daga cikinsu, samar da ma'adinan manganese a Afirka ta Kudu, Gabon da Ostiraliya ya kai tan miliyan 7.2, miliyan 4.6 da miliyan 3.3 bi da bi. Yawan ma'adinan manganese da China ke da shi ya kai tan 990,000. Yana da kashi 5% kacal na samar da ma'adinan a duniya.
Rarraba ma'adinan manganese a China ba shi da daidaito, galibi yana da yawa a Guangxi, Guizhou da sauran wurare. A cewar "Bincike kan Albarkatun Ma'adinan Manganese na China da Matsalolin Tsaron Sarkar Masana'antu" (Ren Hui et al.), ma'adinan manganese na China galibi ma'adinan manganese carbonate ne, tare da ƙananan adadin ma'adinan manganese oxide da sauran nau'ikan ma'adanai. A cewar Ma'aikatar Albarkatun Ƙasa, ma'adinan manganese na China a shekarar 2022 sun kai tan miliyan 280. Yankin da ke da mafi girman ma'adinan manganese shine Guangxi, tare da ma'adinan tan miliyan 120, wanda ya kai kashi 43% na ma'adinan ƙasar; sai kuma Guizhou, wanda ke da tan miliyan 50, wanda ya kai kashi 43% na ma'adinan ƙasar. 18%.
Ma'adinan manganese na China ƙanana ne a girma kuma suna da ƙarancin inganci. Akwai ƙananan ma'adinan manganese a China, kuma yawancinsu ba su da yawa. A cewar "Bincike kan Albarkatun Ma'adinan Manganese na China da Matsalolin Tsaron Sarkar Masana'antu" (Ren Hui et al.), matsakaicin matakin ma'adinan manganese a China shine kusan kashi 22%, wanda yake ƙasa da inganci. Kusan babu wadataccen ma'adinan manganese da suka cika ƙa'idodin ƙasashen duniya, kuma ƙarancin ma'adinan da ba su da inganci suna buƙatar amfani da shi ne kawai bayan an inganta matsayin ta hanyar sarrafa ma'adinai.
Yawan dogaro da shigo da ma'adinan manganese daga China ya kai kusan kashi 95%. Saboda ƙarancin albarkatun ma'adinan manganese na China, yawan ƙazanta, yawan kuɗin haƙar ma'adinai, da kuma tsauraran matakan tsaro da kare muhalli a masana'antar haƙar ma'adinai, samar da ma'adinan manganese na China yana raguwa kowace shekara. A cewar bayanai daga Binciken Ƙasa na Amurka, samar da ma'adinan manganese na China ya ragu a cikin shekaru 10 da suka gabata. Yawan samarwa ya ragu sosai daga 2016 zuwa 2018 da 2021. Yawan samarwa da ake samu a kowace shekara ya kai kimanin tan miliyan 1. China ta dogara sosai kan shigo da ma'adinan manganese, kuma dogaro da take yi a waje ya wuce kashi 95% a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata. A cewar bayanan iska, yawan fitar da ma'adinan manganese na China zai kai tan 990,000 a shekarar 2022, yayin da shigo da ma'adinan zai kai tan miliyan 29.89, tare da dogaro da shigo da ma'adinan har zuwa kashi 96.8%.
1.3 Manganese mai amfani da lantarki: Kasar Sin ce ke da kashi 98% na yawan samar da kayayyaki a duniya kuma karfin samar da kayayyaki ya taru.
Yawan samar da sinadarin manganese na kasar Sin ya ta'allaka ne a lardunan tsakiya da kuma yammacin kasar. Yawan samar da sinadarin manganese na kasar Sin ya fi yawa a Ningxia, Guangxi, Hunan da Guizhou, wanda ya kai kashi 31%, 21%, 20% da 12% bi da bi. A cewar masana'antar karafa, yawan samar da sinadarin manganese na kasar Sin ya kai kashi 98% na yawan samar da sinadarin manganese na kasar Sin a duniya, kuma shi ne babban mai samar da sinadarin manganese na kasar Sin a duniya.
Masana'antar manganese ta lantarki a China tana da ƙarfin samarwa mai yawa, inda ƙarfin samarwa na masana'antar Manganese ta Ningxia Tianyuan ya kai kashi 33% na jimillar ƙasar. A cewar Baichuan Yingfu, ya zuwa watan Yunin 2023, ƙarfin samar da manganese ta lantarki a China ya kai tan miliyan 2.455. Manyan kamfanoni goma sune Ningxia Tianyuan Manganese Industry, Southern Manganese Group, Tianxiong Technology, da sauransu, waɗanda ke da jimillar ƙarfin samarwa na tan miliyan 1.71, wanda ya kai jimillar ƙarfin samarwa na ƙasar 70%. Daga cikinsu, Ningxia Tianyuan Manganese Industry tana da ƙarfin samarwa na tan 800,000 a kowace shekara, wanda ya kai kashi 33% na jimillar ƙarfin samarwa na ƙasar.
Manufofin masana'antu da ƙarancin wutar lantarki sun shafe su,manganese mai amfani da electrolyticSamar da kayayyaki ya ragu a cikin 'yan shekarun nan. A cikin 'yan shekarun nan, tare da gabatar da manufar "ninki biyu na carbon" ta China, manufofin kare muhalli sun zama masu tsauri, saurin haɓaka masana'antu ya karu, an kawar da koma-baya na samar da kayayyaki, an sarrafa sabbin ƙarfin samarwa sosai, kuma abubuwa kamar ƙuntatawa na wutar lantarki a wasu yankuna suna da ƙarancin samarwa, yawan fitarwa a cikin 2021 ya ragu. A watan Yulin 2022, Kwamitin Musamman na Manganese na Ƙungiyar Masana'antu ta Ferroalloy ta China ya fitar da shawara don iyakancewa da rage samarwa da fiye da 60%. A cikin 2022, yawan fitarwa na manganese na lantarki na China ya faɗi zuwa tan 852,000 (yoy-34.7%). A ranar 22 ga Oktoba, Kwamitin Aiki na Ƙirƙirar Ƙarfe na Electrolytic Manganese na Ƙungiyar Ma'adinai ta China ya gabatar da manufar dakatar da duk samarwa a watan Janairun 2023 da kashi 50% na samarwa daga Fabrairu zuwa Disamba. A ranar 22 ga Nuwamba, Kwamitin Aiki na Ƙirƙirar Ƙarfe na Electrolytic Manganese na Ƙungiyar Haƙar Ma'adinai ta China ya ba da shawarar cewa kamfanoni za su ci gaba da dakatar da samarwa da haɓakawa, da kuma tsara samarwa a kashi 60% na ƙarfin samarwa. Muna sa ran cewa fitar da sinadarin manganese na electrolytic ba zai ƙaru sosai a shekarar 2023 ba.
Yawan aiki ya ci gaba da kasancewa kusan kashi 50%, kuma yawan aiki zai canza sosai a shekarar 2022. Sakamakon shirin kawancen a shekarar 2022, yawan aiki na kamfanonin manganese na kasar Sin zai canza sosai, inda matsakaicin adadin aiki na shekarar ya kasance kashi 33.5%. An gudanar da dakatar da samarwa da haɓakawa a kwata na farko na shekarar 2022, kuma adadin aiki a watan Fabrairu da Maris ya kasance kashi 7% da 10.5% kacal. Bayan da kawancen ya gudanar da taro a karshen watan Yuli, masana'antu a cikin kawancen sun rage ko dakatar da samarwa, kuma adadin aiki a watan Agusta, Satumba da Oktoba ya kasance kasa da kashi 30%.
1.4 Manganese dioxide: Ana amfani da sinadarin lithium manganese wajen samar da shi, kuma yawan samar da shi yana da sauri kuma karfin samar da shi yana tarawa.
Sakamakon buƙatar kayan lithium manganese, China ta fara amfani daelectrolytic manganese dioxideSamar da kayayyaki ya karu sosai. A cikin 'yan shekarun nan, sakamakon buƙatar kayan lithium manganate, buƙatar lithium manganate electrolytic manganese dioxide ta karu sosai, kuma samar da kayayyaki a China ya karu daga baya. A cewar "Takaitaccen Bayani game da Manganese Ma'adinan Duniya da Samar da Samfuran Manganese na China a shekarar 2020" (Qin Deliang), samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin a shekarar 2020 ya kai tan 351,000, karuwar kashi 14.3% a shekara bayan shekara, a shekarar 2022, wasu kamfanoni za su dakatar da samarwa don gyarawa, kuma fitar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na electrolytic zai ragu. A cewar bayanai daga Shanghai Nonferrous Metal Network, fitar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin a shekarar 2022 zai kai tan 268,000.
Yawan samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin ya ta'allaka ne a Guangxi, Hunan da Guizhou. Kasar Sin ita ce babbar mai samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin a duniya. A cewar Cibiyar Bincike ta Masana'antu ta Huajing, samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin ya kai kusan kashi 73% na samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar a shekarar 2018. Yawan samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin ya fi yawa a Guangxi, Hunan da Guangxi, inda yawan samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Sin ya fi yawa. A cewar Cibiyar Bincike ta Masana'antu ta Huajing, samar da sinadarin manganese dioxide na kasar Guangxi ya kai kashi 74.4% na samar da sinadarin a kasar a shekarar 2020.
1.5 Manganese sulfate: amfana daga ƙaruwar ƙarfin batir da ƙarfin samarwa mai ƙarfi
Samar da sinadarin manganese sulfate a China ya kai kusan kashi 66% na samar da shi a duniya, inda karfin samar da shi ya ta'allaka ne a Guangxi. A cewar QYResearch, kasar Sin ita ce kasa mafi girma a duniya wajen samar da sinadarin manganese sulfate da kuma amfani da shi. A shekarar 2021, samar da sinadarin manganese sulfate a kasar Sin ya kai kusan kashi 66% na jimillar kayayyakin duniya; jimillar tallace-tallacen sinadarin manganese sulfate a duniya a shekarar 2021 ya kai kimanin tan 550,000, wanda sinadarin manganese sulfate a matsayin batiri ya kai kimanin kashi 41%. Ana sa ran cewa jimillar tallace-tallacen sinadarin manganese sulfate a duniya zai kai tan miliyan 1.54 a shekarar 2027, wanda sinadarin manganese sulfate a matsayin batiri ya kai kimanin kashi 73%. A cewar "Takaitaccen Bayani kan Ma'adinan Manganese na Duniya da Samar da Samfuran Manganese na kasar Sin a shekarar 2020" (Qin Deliang), samar da sinadarin manganese sulfate a kasar Sin a shekarar 2020 ya kai tan 479,000, wanda aka fi mayar da hankali a Guangxi, wanda ya kai kashi 31.7%.
A cewar Baichuan Yingfu, yawan samar da sinadarin manganese sulfate mai tsafta a kasar Sin a kowace shekara zai kai tan 500,000 a shekarar 2022. An tara yawan samar da shi, CR3 yana da kashi 60%, kuma yawan fitar da shi ya kai tan 278,000. Ana sa ran sabon karfin samar da shi zai kai tan 310,000 (Tianyuan Manganese Industry tan 300,000 + Nanhai Chemical tan 10,000).
2. Bukatar manganese: Tsarin masana'antu yana ƙara sauri, kuma gudummawar kayan cathode na manganese yana ƙaruwa.
2.1 Buƙatar gargajiya: Kashi 90% na ƙarfe ne, ana sa ran zai ci gaba da kasancewa daidai
Masana'antar ƙarfe tana da kashi 90% na buƙatar ma'adinan manganese, kuma amfani da batirin lithium-ion yana ƙaruwa. A cewar "Rahoton Shekara-shekara na taron IMnI EPD (2022)", ana amfani da ma'adinan manganese galibi a masana'antar ƙarfe, ana amfani da fiye da kashi 90% na ma'adinan manganese wajen samar da ma'adinan silicon-manganese da ferroalloy na manganese, kuma sauran ma'adinan manganese galibi ana amfani da su ne wajen samar da ma'adinan manganese electrolytic da kuma ma'adinan manganese sulfate na wasu kayayyaki. A cewar Baichuan Yingfu, masana'antun ma'adinan manganese da ke ƙasa sune ma'adinan manganese, ma'adinan electrolytic, da mahaɗan manganese. Daga cikinsu, ana amfani da kashi 60%-80% na ma'adinan manganese don ƙera ma'adinan manganese (don ƙarfe da siminti, da sauransu), kuma ana amfani da kashi 20% na ma'adinan manganese wajen samarwa. Magnesium na lantarki (wanda ake amfani da shi don samar da bakin ƙarfe, ƙarfe, da sauransu), ana amfani da kashi 5-10% don samar da mahaɗan manganese (wanda ake amfani da shi don samar da kayan aiki na zamani, kayan maganadisu, da sauransu).
Manganese don ɗanyen ƙarfe: Ana sa ran buƙatar manganese a duniya za ta kai tan miliyan 20.66 cikin shekaru 25. A cewar Ƙungiyar Manganese ta Duniya, ana amfani da manganese a matsayin abin da ke rage yawan sinadarin carbon, matsakaici-carbon ko ƙarancin carbon iron-manganese da silicon-manganese a lokacin samar da ƙarfe mai ɗanyen ƙarfe. Zai iya hana yawan iskar oxygen a lokacin tacewa da kuma guje wa tsagewa da karyewa. Yana ƙara ƙarfi, tauri, tauri da kuma yanayin ƙarfe. Yawan sinadarin manganese na ƙarfe na musamman ya fi na ƙarfe mai carbon. Ana sa ran matsakaicin sinadarin manganese na ƙarfe mai ɗanyen ƙarfe a duniya zai kai kashi 1.1%. Tun daga shekarar 2021, Hukumar Ci Gaba da Gyaran Ƙasa da sauran sassa za su gudanar da aikin rage yawan samar da ƙarfe mai ɗanyen ƙarfe na ƙasa, kuma za su ci gaba da gudanar da aikin rage yawan samar da ƙarfe mai ɗanyen a shekarar 2022, tare da sakamako mai kyau. Daga shekarar 2020 zuwa 2022, yawan samar da ƙarfe mai ɗanyen ƙarfe na ƙasa zai ragu daga tan biliyan 1.065 zuwa tan biliyan 1.013. Ana sa ran nan gaba China da duniya za su ci gaba da fitar da danyen ƙarfe ba tare da wani canji ba.
2.2 Bukatar batir: gudunmawar da ake bayarwa wajen ƙara yawan kayan da aka yi da kathode na manganese
Ana amfani da batirin lithium manganese oxide galibi a kasuwar dijital, ƙananan kasuwar wutar lantarki da kasuwar motocin fasinja. Suna da ingantaccen aiki mai kyau da ƙarancin farashi, amma ba su da ƙarancin yawan kuzari da aikin zagaye. A cewar Xinchen Information, jigilar kayan lithium manganate cathode na China daga 2019 zuwa 2021 sun kasance tan 7.5/9.1/102,000 bi da bi, da tan 66,000 a 2022. Wannan ya faru ne saboda koma bayan tattalin arziki a China a 2022 da kuma ci gaba da hauhawar farashin lithium carbonate na kayan da aka samar a sama. Farashi mai yawa da kuma jinkirin amfani da su.
Manganese don cathodes na batirin lithium: Ana sa ran buƙatar duniya za ta kai tan 229,000 a shekarar 2025, daidai da tan 216,000 na manganese dioxide da tan 284,000 na manganese sulfate. Manganese da ake amfani da shi azaman kayan cathode don batirin lithium galibi an raba shi zuwa manganese don batirin ternary da manganese don batirin lithium manganate. Tare da ƙaruwar jigilar batirin ternary mai ƙarfi a nan gaba, mun kiyasta cewa yawan amfani da manganese a duniya don batirin ternary mai ƙarfi zai ƙaru daga tan 61,000 zuwa 61,000 a cikin tan 22-25. ya ƙaru zuwa tan 92,000, kuma buƙatar manganese sulfate mai dacewa ta ƙaru daga tan 186,000 zuwa tan 284,000 (tushen manganese na kayan cathode na batirin ternary shine manganese sulfate); Bisa ga Xinchen Information da Boshi, karuwar bukatar motoci masu amfani da wutar lantarki masu tayoyi biyu, a cewar kamfanin dillancin labarai na Xinchen da Boshi. A cewar babban kamfanin samar da kayayyaki na fasaha, ana sa ran jigilar kaya na lithium manganate cathode na duniya zai kai tan 224,000 a cikin shekaru 25, wanda ya yi daidai da yawan amfani da manganese na tan 136,000, da kuma bukatar manganese dioxide mai dacewa ta tan 216,000 (tushen manganese na sinadarin lithium manganate cathode shine manganese dioxide).
Tushen Manganese suna da fa'idodin albarkatu masu yawa, ƙarancin farashi, da tagogi masu ƙarfin lantarki na kayan manganese. Yayin da fasaha ke ci gaba kuma tsarin masana'antu ke ƙaruwa, masana'antun batir kamar Tesla, BYD, CATL, da Guoxuan High-tech sun fara amfani da kayan cathode masu alaƙa da manganese. Samarwa.
Ana sa ran za a hanzarta tsarin masana'antu na lithium iron manganese phosphate. 1) Haɗa fa'idodin lithium iron phosphate da batirin ternary, yana da aminci da yawan kuzari. A cewar Shanghai Nonferrous Network, lithium iron manganese phosphate wani sabon nau'in lithium iron phosphate ne. Ƙara sinadarin manganese na iya ƙara ƙarfin baturi. Ƙarfin kuzarinsa na ka'ida ya fi na lithium iron phosphate girma da kashi 15%, kuma yana da daidaiton abu. Tan ɗaya na ƙarfe manganese phosphate. Yawan sinadarin lithium manganese yana da kashi 13%. 2) Ci gaban fasaha: Saboda ƙara sinadarin manganese, batirin lithium iron manganese phosphate suna da matsaloli kamar ƙarancin wutar lantarki da raguwar tsawon rayuwa, wanda za a iya inganta shi ta hanyar fasahar nano, ƙirar siffa, ion doping da kuma shafa saman. 3) Haɓaka tsarin masana'antu: Kamfanonin batiri kamar CATL, China Innovation Aviation, Guoxuan Hi-Tech, Sunwoda, da sauransu duk sun samar da batirin lithium iron manganese phosphate; kamfanonin cathode kamar Defang Nano, Rongbai Technology, Dangsheng Technology, da sauransu. Tsarin kayan lithium iron manganese phosphate cathode; Kamfanin kera motoci na Niu GOVAF0 jerin motocin lantarki suna da batirin lithium iron manganese phosphate, NIO ta fara samar da ƙananan batirin lithium iron manganese phosphate a Hefei, kuma Batirin Fudi na BYD ya fara siyan lithium iron manganese phosphate Kayan aiki: Motar Tesla ta gida Model 3 tana amfani da sabon batirin M3P lithium iron phosphate na CATL.
Manganese don lithium iron manganese phosphate cathode: A ƙarƙashin zato mai tsaka-tsaki da kyakkyawan fata, ana sa ran buƙatar lithium iron manganese phosphate cathode a duniya zai kai tan 268,000/358,000 a cikin shekaru 25, kuma buƙatar manganese mai dacewa ita ce tan 35,000/47,000.
A bisa hasashen Gaogong Lithium Battery, nan da shekarar 2025, yawan shigar da kayan cathode na lithium iron manganese phosphate a kasuwa zai wuce kashi 15% idan aka kwatanta da kayan lithium iron phosphate. Saboda haka, idan aka yi la'akari da yanayin tsaka-tsaki da kyakkyawan fata, yawan shigar da lithium iron manganese phosphate a cikin shekaru 23-25 ya kasance 4%/9%/15%, 5%/11%/20%. Kasuwar motoci masu ƙafa biyu: Muna tsammanin batirin lithium iron manganese phosphate zai hanzarta shigar da su a kasuwar motoci masu ƙafa biyu ta lantarki ta China. Ba za a yi la'akari da ƙasashen waje ba saboda rashin kulawa da farashi da kuma yawan kuzari. Ana sa ran cewa a ƙarƙashin yanayi tsaka-tsaki da kyakkyawan fata a cikin shekaru 25, lithium iron manganese phosphate zai buƙaci cathodes shine tan 1.1/15,000, kuma buƙatar manganese daidai da ita shine tan miliyan 0.1/0.2. Kasuwar motocin lantarki: Idan aka yi la'akari da cewa sinadarin lithium iron manganese phosphate ya maye gurbin sinadarin lithium iron phosphate gaba ɗaya kuma ana amfani da shi tare da batirin ternary (bisa ga kason kayayyakin da suka shafi fasahar Rongbai, mun ɗauka cewa rabon maganin shine 10%), ana tsammanin hakan ba shi da tsaka tsaki kuma A ƙarƙashin yanayi mai kyau, buƙatar sinadarin lithium iron manganese phosphate cathodes shine tan 257,000/343,000, kuma buƙatar manganese mai dacewa shine tan 33,000/45,000.
A halin yanzu, farashin ma'adinan manganese, manganese sulfate, da electrolytic manganese suna cikin ƙasa a tarihi, kuma farashin manganese dioxide yana cikin babban matsayi a tarihi. A cikin 2021, saboda ƙarancin amfani da makamashi biyu da ƙarancin wutar lantarki, ƙungiyar ta dakatar da samarwa tare, samar da electrolytic manganese ya ragu, kuma farashi ya tashi sosai, wanda hakan ya sa farashin manganese, manganese sulfate, da electrolytic manganese suka tashi. Bayan 2022, buƙatar ƙasa ta ragu, kuma farashin electrolytic manganese ya ragu, yayin da farashin electrolytic manganese dioxide ya ragu. Ga manganese, manganese sulfate, da sauransu, saboda ci gaba da ƙaruwar batirin lithium na ƙasa, gyaran farashin ba shi da mahimmanci. A cikin dogon lokaci, buƙatar ƙasa ta fi yawa ga manganese sulfate da manganese dioxide a cikin batura. Amfani da karuwar kayan cathode na tushen manganese, ana sa ran cibiyar farashi za ta ci gaba.